NFC South rivals will meet for the second time in 12 days when the Atlanta Falcons square off against the Carolina Panthers in the Week 10 Thursday Night Football game at Bank of America Stadium. The Falcons and Panthers met on Oct. 30 in Atlanta, with the Falcons winning 37-34 on Younghoe Koo’s 41-yard field goal in overtime. Last Sunday, Atlanta lost to the Chargers, while Carolina fell to the Bengals. Despite the loss, the Falcons (4-5) are still tied for the lead in the division, while the Panthers (2-7) own the worst record in the NFC. Carolina will reportedly start quarterback P.J. Walker again despite benching him at halftime in Week 9. 

Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET. Atlanta is a 3-point favorite in the latest Panthers vs. Falcoms odds from Caesars Sportsbook while the over/under for total points scored is 44.5. Before making any Falcons vs. Panthers picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 10 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 151-108 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Panthers vs. Falcons and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 10 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Falcons vs. Panthers: 

  • Panthers vs. Falcons spread: Atlanta -3
  • Panthers vs. Falcons over/under: 44.5 points
  • Panthers vs. Falcons money line: Atlanta -160, Carolina +135
  • ATL: Falcons rank fourth in rushing yards per game (162.9)
  • CAR: DE Brian Burns ranks eighth in pressures (36)
  • Panthers vs. Falcons picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons

Why the Falcons can cover

Atlanta has one of the best rushing attacks in the league. Led by the combination of Tyler Allgeier and Cordarrelle Patterson, the Falcons average 162.9 rushing yards per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The team’s 11 rushing touchdowns are tied for the third-most.

In addition, Atlanta is one of the least penalized teams in the league. The Falcons average just 4.3 penalties per game, which ranks second, behind only the Rams (4.0). Last week, Atlanta had just two penalties for 15 yards against the Chargers. See which team to pick here.

Why the Panthers can cover 

Carolina has one of the league’s most impactful pass rushers, Brian Burns. The No. 16 overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, Burns ranks 13th in the league in sacks (six) and eighth in pressures (36). Jonathan Jones of CBS Sports reported last Sunday that the Panthers turned down two first-round picks and a second-round pick from the Rams at the trade deadline in exchange for Burns.

In addition, Carolina faces an Atlanta pass defense that has struggled this season. The Falcons give up 300.0 passing yards per game, which is dead last in the league. They’ve also allowed 15 passing touchdowns; just five teams have given up more. See which team to pick here.

How to make Panthers vs. Falcons picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total. In fact, it’s calling for 44 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the model’s TNF picks at SportsLine

So who wins Falcons vs. Panthers on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Panthers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.

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