The Los Angeles Chargers, led by Justin Herbert, will visit the Jacksonville Jaguars, led by Trevor Lawrence, on Saturday in the 2023 NFL playoffs. The Chargers lost to the Jaguars at home in Week 3, but Los Angeles finished the season strong with a 10-7 overall record and four wins in the last five games. The Jaguars are on a five-game winning streak, winning the AFC South with a 9-8 record and a 5-3 mark in home and neutral games.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Jacksonville. The Chargers are favored by 1.5, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 47 in the latest Jaguars vs. Chargers odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before you make any Chargers vs. Jaguars picks and NFL playoff predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s resident Jaguars expert, Mike Tierney, has to say.

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Mike Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. He entered the 2022 NFL season 232-204-10 against-the-spread since the start of the 2018 season. In addition, he is an amazing 33-14 on his last 47 picks in games involving the Jaguars, returning nearly $1,800. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Tierney has set his sights on Chargers vs. Jaguars and just locked in his picks and NFL playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Now, here are several NFL odds betting lines and trends for Chargers vs. Jaguars:

  • Jaguars vs. Chargers spread: Chargers -1.5
  • Jaguars vs. Chargers over/under: 47 points 
  • Jaguars vs. Chargers money line: Chargers -135, Jaguars +115 
  • LAC: Chargers are 7-2 against the spread in road games 
  • JAX: Jaguars are 4-4 against the spread in home/neutral games 
  • Jaguars vs. Chargers picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Why the Chargers can cover

Los Angeles has an opportunistic defense, as evidenced by 24 takeaways this season. The Chargers also rank in the top eight in first downs allowed, passing yards allowed, and fourth down efficiency allowed, while producing at an above-average level in the red zone. Quarterback Justin Herbert became the third quarterback in history to throw at least 25 passing touchdowns in each of his first three seasons.

Herbert is flanked by standout running back Austin Ekeler, who led the NFL with 18 total touchdowns, and Jacksonville has red flags on defense. The Jaguars are No. 24 or worse in total defense (353.3 yards allowed per game), passing defense (238.5 yards allowed per game), third down efficiency allowed (43.2%), and red zone efficiency allowed (59.6%). See which team to pick here.

Why the Jaguars can cover

Trevor Lawrence is a budding star at quarterback for the Jaguars. In the last nine games, Lawrence has 15 passing touchdowns and only two interceptions, leading Jacksonville to a strong finish to overcome a 2-6 start. Lawrence ranks in the top 10 in completions (387), passing yards (4,113), passing touchdowns (25), and passer rating (95.2), and he is No. 4 with a 4.42% sack rate.

The Jaguars also have a potent running back in Travis Etienne, who ranks in the top 10 with 1,125 rushing yards and 5.1 yards per carry. Etienne has eight games with at least 100 yards from scrimmage this season, and the Jaguars generate 4.7 yards per rush as a team. Jacksonville puts up 23.8 points and more than 350 yards per game, and the Jaguars have only nine interceptions, ranking No. 3 in the league. See which team to pick here.

How to make Chargers vs. Jaguars picks

Tierney has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he’s leaning Under the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.

Who wins Chargers vs. Jaguars in the NFL playoffs 2023? And which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Tierney’s Chargers vs. Jaguars picks, all from the expert who is 33-14 on picks involving the Jaguars, and find out.

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