The Charlotte Hornets (3-9) will try to snap their six-game losing streak when they face the Miami Heat (4-7) on Thursday night at FTX Arena. Charlotte is dealing with multiple key injuries and is coming off a 105-95 loss to Portland. Miami has suffered consecutive losses, including a 110-107 setback against the Trail Blazers on Monday. 

Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Miami is favored by 10.5 points in the latest Heat vs. Hornets odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 214. Before entering any Hornets vs. Heat picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 97-66 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Hornets. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Hornets vs. Heat:

  • Heat vs. Hornets spread: Heat -10.5
  • Heat vs. Hornets over/under: 214 points
  • Heat vs. Hornets money line: Miami -550, Charlotte +400
  • Heat vs. Hornets picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets

Why the Heat can cover

Charlotte is riding a six-game losing streak and is not expected to improve until some of its key players return from injury. The Hornets will remain without starters LaMelo Ball (ankle) and Gordon Hayward (shoulder), along with reserve Cody Martin (quad). Ball averaged 20.1 points and dished out a team-high 7.6 assists last season, while also leading the team with 1.6 steals per game. 

Hayward finished fourth on the team in scoring last year (15.9) and also averaged 3.6 assists, so the absence of those two players is taking a toll on Charlotte. The Hornets’ bench was outscored 35-22 in the 105-95 loss to Portland on Wednesday, and they are now having to play the second leg of a back-to-back with a depleted roster. Charlotte has failed to cover the spread in all six games during its losing streak, and it is also winless against the spread in its last five games against Miami. 

Why the Hornets can cover

Miami is dealing with some injury issues of its own, as second-leading scorer Tyler Herro has been sidelined with an ankle injury. He is averaging 19.6 points and 6.4 rebounds per game, and he is questionable to play on Thursday night, as is Cody Martin’s twin, Caleb Martin (quad). Miami has lost two straight games and is now sitting at just 4-7 overall this season. 

Forward Jimmy Butler had missed two straight games prior to returning earlier this week, while Victor Oladipo is going to remain out on Thursday. Charlotte still has leading scorer Terry Rozier, who is averaging 21.8 points, 6.0 assists and 5.8 rebounds per game. The Heat have been way overvalued at home recently, covering the spread once in their last 10 games at FTX Arena. 

How to make Heat vs. Hornets picks

The model has simulated Hornets vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Hornets? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Hornets vs. Heat spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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